Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.109784 7.835754 8.623228 9.544103 10.595505 11.763279 13.165038
2025-12-28 6.562265 7.620290 8.848952 10.394494 12.305541 14.616044 17.659447
2026-01-04 5.984306 7.191754 8.659051 10.599211 13.136663 16.399451 21.008412
2026-01-11 5.372502 6.621821 8.192129 10.348572 13.294125 17.271178 23.218362
2026-01-18 5.080230 6.409896 8.134695 10.589853 14.087105 19.041763 26.889544
2026-01-25 4.691413 6.028539 7.806539 10.410932 14.249031 19.906793 29.314216
2026-02-01 4.377312 5.717238 7.538950 10.277513 14.441345 20.810958 31.903418
2026-02-08 4.095903 5.426892 7.272343 10.111718 14.552596 21.581235 34.363153
2026-02-15 3.835972 5.146972 6.996538 9.901781 14.563058 22.173768 36.583592
2026-02-22 3.647805 4.955968 6.833672 9.845032 14.803149 23.161555 39.668205
2026-03-01 3.404882 4.670044 6.510120 9.508693 14.545938 23.253834 41.039258
2026-03-08 3.154092 4.358954 6.129911 9.053244 14.044790 22.853099 41.352972
2026-03-15 2.981718 4.161570 5.919829 8.871744 14.022115 23.364411 43.743184
2026-03-22 3.042105 4.318931 6.267854 9.638615 15.749968 27.400661 54.656814
2026-03-29 2.968501 4.264070 6.274563 9.824648 16.438140 29.505116 61.693523
2026-04-05 2.815559 4.076266 6.054556 9.597238 16.320660 29.938162 64.727136
2026-04-12 2.762575 4.043748 6.085813 9.816146 17.085870 32.346611 73.481360
2026-04-19 2.641270 3.894943 5.914420 9.653829 17.075327 33.047999 77.771863
2026-04-26 2.536076 3.767263 5.771382 9.532743 17.135516 33.916780 82.781595
2026-05-03 2.432839 3.638032 5.618659 9.382212 17.118988 34.603199 87.440777
2026-05-10 2.329440 3.504058 5.450920 9.191507 16.998943 35.024804 91.397366
2026-05-17 2.255493 3.416105 5.358819 9.139937 17.174156 36.200364 98.205213
2026-05-24 2.145076 3.262321 5.143641 8.834130 16.761884 35.832091 99.602999